Apakah Infrastruktur Jalan Mempengaruhi Ekspor? Pendekatan Vector Autoregressive

Khairul Amri(1*)

(1) Universitas Islam Negeri Ar-Raniry, Banda Aceh, Indonesia
(*) Corresponding Author

Abstract


This study aims to investigate the effect of road infrastructure on exports for the case of the Indonesian economy. Using time-series data during the 1987-2013 period sourced from the Indonesian Bureau of Statistics (BPS), the econometric model employed pertain to Johanson co-integration test, vector autoregressive, and Granger causality test. The finding of the study points out that there is no long-term relationship between the two variables. The rising in exports positively and significantly was affected by road infrastructure three years earlier. Furthermore, export has a positive and significant effect on road infrastructure at a lag of 1. The increase in export commodities leads to the government to improve road infrastructure at the one-year horizon. The result of the Granger causality test indicates that there is a bidirectional causality relationship between exports and road infrastructure. The increase in road infrastructure led to an increase in exports, and the increase in exports also led to an increase in road infrastructure

Keywords


Export, Road Infrastructure, Vector Autoregressive, and Granger Causality Test

Article metrics

Abstract views : 51 | views : 3

Full Text:

PDF

References


Albiman, M., & Suleiman, N. N. (2016). The relationship among export, import, capital formation and economic growth in Malaysia, Journal of Global Economics, 4(2), 1-6.

Amri, K. (2014). Infrastruktur transportasi dan kepadatan penduduk dampaknya terhadap pendapatan per kapita: Panel data evidence sembilan provinsi di Sumatera, Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen dan Bisnis, 2 (2), 438-450

Amri, K. (2017). Analisis pertumbuhan ekonomi dan ketimpangan pendapatan: Panel data 8 provinsi di Sumatera, Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Teknologi, 1(1), 1-11

Amri, K., & Aimon, H. (2017). Pengaruh pembentukan modal dan ekspor terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia, Economac 1(1), 1-16.

Amri, K., & Nazamuddin. (2018). Is there causality relationship between export and employment: A time series data evidence from Indonesia. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 7(2), 86–99.

Amri, K., Nazamuddin., Masbar, R., & Aimon, H. (2019). Is there a causality relationship between local tax revenue and regional economic growth? A panel data evidence from Indonesia, Regional Science Inquiry, 11 (1), 73-84.

Barzin, S., D’Costa, S., & Graham, D. J. (2018). A pseudo – panel approach to estimating dynamic effects of road infrastructure on firm performance in a developing country context. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 70, 20–34. doi:10.1016/j.regs ciurbeco.2018.02.002

Basuki, A. T., & Yuliadi, I. (2015). Ekonometrika teori dan aplikasi, Edisi 1, Mitra Yogyakarta: Aksara Mulia.

Coşar, A. K., & Demir, B. (2016). Domestic road infrastructure and international trade: Evidence from Turkey. Journal of Development Economics, 118, 232–244. doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2015.10.001

Duran-Fernandez, R., & Santos, G. (2014). Road infrastructure spillovers on the manufacturing sector in Mexico. Research in Transportation Economics, 46, 17–29. doi:10.1016/j.retrec.2014.09.002

Farhadi, M. (2015).Transport infrastructure and long-run economic growthin OECD countries, Transportation Research Part A 74, 73–90.

Francois, J., & Manchin, M. (2013). Institutions, Infrastructure, and Trade. World Development, 46, 165–175. doi:10.1016/j. worlddev.2013.02.009

Hasyim, S., Zulhilmi, M., & Amri, K. (2019). Is there a causality relationship between law enforcement, crime rates, and economic growth? An empirical evidence from western Indonesia, Regional Science Inquiry, 11(2), 95-109.

Jiang, X., He, X., Zhang, L., Qina, H., & Shao, F. (2017). Multimodal transportation infrastructure investment and regional economic development: A structural equation modeling empirical analysis in China from 1986 to 2011, Transport Policy 54, 43–52.

Kabak, Ö., Ülengin, F., & Önsel Ekici, Ş. (2018). Connecting logistics performance to export: A scenario-based approach. Research in Transportation Economics. doi:10.1016/j.retrec.2018.05.007

Kodongo, O., & Ojah, K. (2016). Does infrastructure really explain economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa? Review of Development Finance, 6(2), 105–125. doi:10.1016/j.rdf.2016.12.001.

Li, J., Liu, B., & Qian, G. (2019). The belt and road initiative, cultural friction and ethnicity: Their effects on the export performance of SMEs in China. Journal of World Business. doi:10.1016/j.jwb.2019.04.004.

Lokesha, M. N., & Mahesha, M. (2017). Economic Benefits of Road Infrastructure on Agricultural Development and Rural Road Infrastructure Development Programmes of India and Karnataka, Journal of Research in Business and Management, 4(11), 42-48

Marquez-Ramos, L. (2016). Port facilities, regional spillovers and exports: Empirical evidence from spain, Papers in Regional Science, 95(2), 329-351.

Martincus, C.V., & Blyde, J. (2013).Shaky roads and trembling exports: Assessing the trade effects of domestic infrastructure using a natural experiment. Journal of International Economics, 90(1), 148–161. doi:10.1016/j. jinteco.2012.11.001

Martincus, C.V., Carballo, J., & Cusolito, A. (2017). Roads, exports and employment: Evidence from a developing country. Journal of Development Economics, 125, 21–39. doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2016.10.002

Meersman, H., & Nazemzadeh, M. (2017). The contribution of transport infrastructure to economic activity: the case of Belgium, Case Studies on Transport Policy

Muliadi, M.,& Amri, K. (2019). Infrastruktur jalan, belanja modal dan kesempatan kerja: Bukti data panel kabupaten kota di Aceh, Jurnal Manajemen dan Sains, 4(2), 334-341

Ogunleye, O., Ajibola, A., Enilolobo, O., & Shogunle, O. (2018). Influence of road transport infrastructure on agricultural sector development in Nigeria, Logistics & Sustainable Transport, 9(1), 39-50

Padeiro, M. (2013). Transport infrastructures and employment growth in the Paris metropolitan margins, Journal of Transport Geography 31, 44–53

Sembanyang, L. K. B. (2011). Analisis Keterkaitan Ketersediaan Infrastruktur Dengan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia: Pendekatan Analisis Granger Causality, JEJAK 4(1), 14-22.

Tang, C. F., & Abosedra, S. (2019). Logistics performance, exports, and growth: Evidence from Asian economies. Research in Transportation Economics, 100743. doi:10.1016/j.retrec.2019.100743

Tsekeris, T. (2016). Domestic transport effects on regional export trade in Greece, Research in Transportation Economics, 1-13.

Widarjono, A. (2013). Ekonometrika: Pengantar dan Aplikasinya, EdisiKetiga, Yogyakarta: Ekonesi

Winarno, W. W. (2015). Analisis ekonometrika dan statistika dengan EViews, Edisi Keempat, cetakan pertama. Yogyakarta: UPP STIM YKPN.

Xu, H. (2016). Domestic railroad infrastructure and exports: Evidence from the Silk Route. China Economic Review, 41, 129–147. doi:10.1016/j.chieco.2016.09.005.

Zulhilmi, M., & Maulana, H. (2018). Analisis pola migrasi penduduk di dataran tinggi kabupaten Aceh Tengah provinsi Aceh (Dimensi Sosial, Ekonomi, dan Infrastruktur), Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 9(2), 204-115.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.35314/inovbiz.v7i2.1189

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2019 Khairul - Amri

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.


This Journal has been listed and indexed in :

Copyright of Jurnal Inovasi Bisnis (p-ISSN : 2338-4840, e-ISSN : 2614-6983)

Creative Commons License
Inovbiz: Jurnal Inovasi Bisnis is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Editorial Office :
Pusat Penelitian dan Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat
 Politeknik Negeri Bengkalis 
Jl. Bathin alam, Sungai Alam Bengkalis-Riau 28711 
E-mail: inovbiz@polbeng.ac.id
www.polbeng.ac.id

View Inovbiz Statistics